Our betting guru Jones Is aware of reckons Arsenal will declare North London bragging rights on Sunday
Southampton vs Wolves, Sunday 2.00pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
I am but to really get a deal with on each these two groups, which is proving problematic for prediction and betting functions. Having backed Southampton for relegation in the summertime, I have been stunned with their efficiency ranges that ought to have amounted to greater than the 4 attracts they’ve picked up.
Can they get that elusive first win right here? Properly, the markets cannot cut up these two. And I am pondering alongside the identical strains. I do suppose Wolves will end significantly greater than Saints come the tip of the marketing campaign however their present conversion charge in entrance of purpose makes them unimaginable to fancy.
Wolves have struggled for objectives with simply two within the Premier League this season – an personal purpose by Watford’s Francisco Sierralta and a purpose from a yard out by Hee-Chan Hwang within the 2-0 win at Watford. That is regardless of trying the third highest quantity of pictures this season, behind solely Manchester Metropolis and Liverpool.
Wolves even have the best anticipated objectives determine this season (9.2) to again up their pictures information. The distinction of -7.2 between objectives scored and anticipated objectives is the largest unfavourable distinction within the Premier League. If they begin taking these massive probabilities, then an opposition workforce is in hassle. I do not suppose it will begin taking place right here although. A fifth consecutive draw for Southampton must be the play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
BETTING ANGLE: Back the 1-1 correct score (6/1 with Sky Bet)
Arsenal vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
Mikel Arteta is now in a spot of calm and tranquillity at Arsenal. Managers get to that place when understanding precisely what his greatest beginning XI is and are in a position to choose it constantly.
Three wins throughout all competitions with out conceding definitely has put a spring within the step of everybody across the membership and has received me firmly within the camp of desirous to again them on the costs out there (6/5 with Sky Bet) this weekend. In the meantime, Tottenham can depend themselves fortunate to have 9 factors on the board. An anticipated objectives determine of simply 4.42 is the worst within the Premier League and factors to a transparent drawback with their skill to create probabilities. That merely is not adequate when you have got arguably the world’s greatest striker in your ranks.
I am all for the house win.
The Emirates stage is firmly set for Emile Smith Rowe to showcase his expertise on Tremendous Sunday – he is a big worth within the numerous goalscorer markets contemplating the positions he is taken up this season in a really superior position off the primary striker for Arsenal.
The 21-year-old has been one of many shoots of hope for Arsenal this marketing campaign and will shortly turn out to be their foremost dangerman throughout all markets if discovering a little bit of type in entrance of purpose. He has but to command respect within the goalscorer markets, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang taking on an enormous chunk of the odds. To my eye, his general sharpness in and across the field is nowhere close to the electrical ranges we’ve been accustomed to seeing. In the meantime, Smith Rowe has posted an anticipated objectives determine of 0.68 this season from his seven pictures.
A continuation of most of these numbers ought to end in Smith Rowe troubling the scorers at common intervals this season. And confidence needs to be flowing a bit extra after opening his account for the season off the bench in opposition to AFC Wimbledon in midweek. His prices of 12/1 to score first and 9/2 anytime are worth following. As is the 7/1 for Arsenal to win with him scoring in the match.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
BETTING ANGLE: Smith Rowe to score and Arsenal to win (7/1 with Sky Bet)
Crystal Palace vs Brighton, Monday 8.00pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
Brighton dominated each Premier League conferences in opposition to the then Roy Hodgson-managed Crystal Palace final season however didn’t win both sport, drawing 1-1 at Selhurst Park and shedding 2-1 on the Amex to a stoppage time purpose by Christian Benteke. Their pictures information in these fixtures equated to a purpose each 22.5 pictures – a typical theme to their issues beneath Graham Potter. Mainly, they have been having to create plenty of probabilities to attain a purpose.
That’s one thing they’ve rectified this season as they’re now averaging a purpose each eight pictures and are outperforming their anticipated objectives information. It is all very not like Brighton. Whether or not they can maintain it although, is up for debate.
In the meantime, Palace beneath Patrick Vieira try to turn out to be extra of a possession-based workforce than beneath Hodgson. Their common possession stats are as much as nearly 50 per cent on common regardless of having confronted Chelsea and Liverpool of their first 5 Premier League video games.
So, what does this all imply for this explicit encounter? A low scoring one, in all probability however the markets are already nicely ready for that with simply 4/7 on supply with Sky Wager for beneath 2.5 objectives. These types of costs aren’t actually my type so I’ll play a 66/1 shot with Sky Wager as they critically underestimate the probabilities of Wilfried Zaha getting despatched off.
Zaha all the time performs on the sting, extra so now than ever along with his prickly reactions to getting fouled leaving him susceptible to an aggressive coming along with the opposition. He performed a giant half within the dismissal of Japhet Tanganga within the win over Tottenham, a sport he was booked in, that means he has now induced eight opposition pink playing cards since his Premier League debut in 2013 – probably the most of any participant.
Confrontation follows Zaha round. 4 pink playing cards have been proven his manner throughout his profession, with the final coming in January 2019 throughout one in all his many run-ins with James Ward-Prowse. The referee that day was Andre Marriner, who takes cost of this one. All of the components are there, beneath the lights in a derby match at Selhurst Park, for Zaha to lose his cool with VAR watching like a hawk.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
BETTING ANGLE: Wilfried Zaha to be sent-off (66/1 with Sky Bet)
This weekend’s predictions
Chelsea vs Manchester Metropolis – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-1
Manchester United vs Aston Villa – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 2-1
Everton vs Norwich – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-2
Leeds vs West Ham – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-3
Leicester vs Burnley – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-2
Watford vs Newcastle – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-1
Brentford vs Liverpool – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 0-2